Europe’s construction sector is in a bad way. Interest rates are high, making financing of new projects expensive. Real wages, while growing, are lower than they used to be, making buyers stingy. Although supply disruptions have eased, construction costs are higher than before. The rise of working from home has also dented demand for new office blocks. But the EU’s construction-output data for June, released on Tuesday, surprised with a strong increase, compared with May.
Might this be the start of a recovery? Recent surveys suggested that a decline in output, which started in early 2023, would continue: new orders are falling and the sector is shedding workers. Firms are also pessimistic about future growth, despite some rebound in house prices in countries such as Germany. The latest data notwithstanding, it will probably take time for the recovery in real wages and falling interest rates to boost the construction sector, and help Europe’s economy grow stronger.
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