On Wednesday Bank Indonesia, the central bank for South-East Asia’s largest economy, made its latest interest-rate decision. As expected, it held its benchmark rate at 6.25%. But falling inflation and a weaker dollar may soon give rate-setters the opportunity to loosen monetary policy. The prospect that America’s Federal Reserve could soon begin cutting rates has reduced pressure on the Indonesian currency. The greenback has weakened against the rupiah during August, dropping around 5%. Indonesia’s central bankers, like those in other emerging markets, are breathing a sigh of relief. But a longer-term problem looms. Prabowo Subianto
, the country’s president-elect, will take office in October. His intention to raise government borrowing may weaken the international appeal of the Indonesian currency. That will test the country’s central bankers, and may force them to keep interest rates at higher levels even as the Fed begins to cut.
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